By Miguel Toro The second month of the campaign began with a period of confrontation between front-runner Andrés Manuel López Obrador and some of Mexico’s most powerful business chambers. During an event with the radio and television chambers (CIRT), AMLO suggested that five of the wealthiest businessmen had been attempting to convince PAN candidate Ricardo Anaya to join, with the government, a secret alliance to defeat him. Both the government and the mentioned businessmen denied this happening and the latter paid for an ad printed in multiple newspapers titled “Not Like This,” where the Mexican Business Council (Consejo Mexicano de Negocios) –a group of the most powerful business leaders in Mexico –complained that AMLO was unfoundedly attacking them. They indicated that it was concerning that the Morena party’s presidential candidate vilifies those who think differently than him. Obviously, this received a response from López Obrador and some of his advisors who said that those businessmen did not represent the entire business community. He also said that the businessmen were attacking him because they were afraid of losing their illegal privileges that allow them to behave like oligopolies and have excessively concentrated markets where their firms were dominant. By the end of the week, the confrontation had somewhat subsided, but the most powerful business leaders seem increasingly distant from the left-wing party’s candidate. On another front, the incumbent party PRI candidate José Antonio Meade held an event in which he intended to relaunch his campaign. Sitting in third place in all polls, the former secretary of finance has had trouble connecting with voters. Thus, with the substitution of the party president, René Juárez, for Enrique Ochoa, came an attempt to spark enthusiasm among PRI supporters and double efforts to rally the vote. With the release of a book he wrote and his appearance on two television debate programs, he wanted to explain his proposals. Nevertheless, he used significant amounts of time on those shows to attack AMLO instead. The other three candidates participated in multiple campaign rallies but did not have significant events. For example, Ricardo Anaya campaigned with several of the Frente candidates for governorships. To some pollsters, it is surprising that after his successful first debate, it seems that Anaya’s campaign has wasted the opportunity to further boost his candidacy. With respect to polls, the first surveys after the debate have been released and Anaya has closed the gap slightly with AMLO. On the aggregate summary of the “poll of polls” from Oraculus.mx, AMLO has a 45% of voting intentions, Anaya has 31%, and Meade has 18%. Table 1. Summary of Polls Released in 4th Week of Campaigns Source: Own elaboration with data from the different surveys. Figure 1. Poll of Polls (as of May 10, 2018) Source: Oraculus.mx
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