by Miguel Toro The fourth week of the campaign can be divided into two major happenings: 1.) The difference of opinions on what to do with the new Mexico City Airport project between Carlos Slim (who publicly defended the project based on its positive economic impact in the area) and front-runner Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) (who wants to cancel it based on corruption and excessive cost allegations); and 2.) The first Mexican presidential debate where all the candidates talked about security, corruption, and democracy. On Monday April 16, Carlos Slim held a news conference in which he explained why he thought the new airport project was crucial for Mexico’s economic development. Later that day, AMLO responded that, if the project was so good, maybe Slim should build it entirely with his own funds and the Mexican government could lease it out to him. However, this confrontation of opinions portrayed AMLO in a negative way throughout mainstream media, as his response reminded people of the typical angry López Obrador response to those who think differently from him. At the end of the week, the Mexican presidential candidates faced the electorate in the first of three debates scheduled during the campaign. During the April 22nd debate, the candidates had to speak on a combination of subjects, including insecurity, violence, anti-corruption efforts, impunity, democracy, and the rights of vulnerable groups. The debate’s format allowed a more aggressive exchange of ideas between the candidates without solving all of the issues that impede Mexican candidates to adequately confront policy choices. They gave some proposals, they attacked each other, they did not give in-depth explanations of the feasibility of those proposals, they attacked each other again, and they had to answer a couple of questions from the three moderators. An in-depth analysis of what happened during the debate can be heard in the latest episode of the Mexico Institute’s “Expert Take” podcast. Below is a brief bullet-point summary of the debate: Security
During the past week, three polls were released showing that AMLO continues to be the front-runner with an average of 43 percent in effective voting intentions compared to 29 percent for Ricardo Anaya, 21 percent for José Antonio Meade, 5 percent for Margarita Zavala and 3 percent for Jaime Rodriguez “El Bronco.” Therefore, Oraculus.mx’s model, based on their poll of polls, continues to give AMLO a 90 percent chance of winning. Table 1. Summary of Polls Released in 4th Week of Campaign Figure 1. Poll of Polls (as of April 20, 2018) Source: Oraculus.mx
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Manuel Franco
4/26/2023 02:06:05 am
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